Santos vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Santos
BR1
3-1
HT 2-1
Avai
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Avai
BR1
Santos 0-1 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Avai squeezed past Santos 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Santos at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santos had 65% of the ball to Avai's 35%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.66 to 0.81 — on chances, Santos could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 0.83 for Avai.
What was the final score of Santos vs Avai?
Santos 0-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos 53%, draw 27%, Avai 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.