Chapecoense 0-4 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Aug 2024

Chapecoense
0-4 HT 0-2
Guarani FC
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
6.84
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.08
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.5 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Chapecoense vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guarani FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
06.09.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
25.05.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 3-3 HT 3-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
06.11.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
21.07.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
29.11.2020 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2

Chapecoense 0-4 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-4
AWAY Guarani FC
1.15 xG 1.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
455 Passes 231
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC ran out comfortable winners over Chapecoense 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Guarani FC made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 65% of the ball to Guarani FC's 35%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.15 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Guarani FC?

Chapecoense 0-4 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 38%, draw 30%, Guarani FC 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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