13/04/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Naft Maysan vs Al Mosul Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
35%
Draw
31%
32%
Away Win
33%
67%
Under 2.5
62%
33%
Over 2.5
38%
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
58%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Maysan v Al Mosul — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Maysan
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Mosul
EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+31% /
+31%
1.39/1.24
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.67/0.99
+23%
/
-16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+49%
/
-2%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
234 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
355 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Naft Maysan vs Al Mosul Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Naft Maysan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al Mosul
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Naft Maysan vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft Maysan and Al Mosul couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Mosul?
Naft Maysan 1-1 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Mosul?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 34%, draw 35%, Al Mosul 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
13 Apr 2026