Al Mosul 1-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.67
Over 2.5
54%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 31%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.87
+60% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Mosul vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mosul and Naft Maysan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Mosul vs Naft Maysan?

Al Mosul 1-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mosul vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mosul win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Mosul 39%, draw 29%, Naft Maysan 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Mosul), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mosul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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