Newroz vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals
Baghdad nicked a narrow win over Newroz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Baghdad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Baghdad?
Newroz 0-1 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Baghdad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Baghdad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newroz 37%, draw 25%, Baghdad 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baghdad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.