0 - 1
HT 0 - 0
Baghdad
Elo 1341 · World #2626 (clubs)
WWLLW→
22/12/2025
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Newroz vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 07:40
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
Newroz v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME
Newroz
The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY
Baghdad
The Market 34%
Weak
Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation
Average
1.16
xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction
1.02
1.24
xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction
1.36
Average
Attack Strength
Bad
Average
Defense Strength
Weak
50%
Ball Possession
50%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
339 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
REVIEW
Newroz vs Baghdad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW
Baghdad nicked a narrow win over Newroz 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 39% / 29% / 32% read, it was Baghdad who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
Newroz vs Baghdad Result & Final Score
Newroz 0 - 1 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newroz vs Baghdad Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newroz 39%, draw 29%, Baghdad 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Newroz)
✓ Under 2.5
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22 Dec 2025