22/12/2025
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Diala vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
34%
Draw
33%
36%
Away Win
33%
53%
Under 2.5
61%
47%
Over 2.5
39%
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
50%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Diala v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Diala
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Erbil
EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
0.78/0.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.04/0.84
-37%
/
+62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
+37%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
302 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Diala vs Erbil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Diala
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Erbil
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Diala vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Diala and Erbil shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Diala vs Erbil?
Diala 1-1 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Diala vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Diala 30%, draw 34%, Erbil 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erbil) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Erbil)
✓ Under 2.5
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22 Dec 2025