Al Karkh 1-0 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Dec 2025

Al Karkh
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Gharraf
📅22/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karkh v Al Gharraf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.53/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+27% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh nicked a narrow win over Al Gharraf 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Karkh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf?

Al Karkh 1-0 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharraf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 30%, draw 31%, Al Gharraf 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Gharraf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharraf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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