Newroz 4-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.42/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.40
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.01.2026 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-1 HT 1-0 Newroz IRAK
02.04.2025 Newroz 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
04.02.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-5 HT 0-2 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz swept aside Al Minaa Basra 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newroz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newroz and 0.67 for Al Minaa Basra.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra?

Newroz 4-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newroz 51%, draw 25%, Al Minaa Basra 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5
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