Rancho Santana 0-3 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.33/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.33
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-1 HT 1-1 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
26.10.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
18.08.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.09.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-2 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco swept aside Rancho Santana 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rancho Santana and 2.25 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco?

Rancho Santana 0-3 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 29%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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