Al Nasr 2-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 May 2024

Al Nasr
2-1 HT 1-1
Khorfakkan
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.31 — our 26% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Khorfakkan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.58/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.76
-37% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.2 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 245
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAECK
09.12.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.02.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
25.02.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
16.09.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-0 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr edged past Khorfakkan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Nasr and 1.17 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Al Nasr 2-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 51%, draw 23%, Khorfakkan 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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