Emirates 2-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 May 2024

Emirates
2-3 HT 1-2
Al Ahli FC Dubai
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Emirates vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.48
4-5 Goals
33%
2.33
6+ Goals
11%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.9pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-15.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emirates v Al Ahli FC Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emirates EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 79%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.93/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.63
-45% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
12.2 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Emirates vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emirates
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.38 xG 3.04
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
161 Passes 400
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 7-0 HT 3-0 Emirates Emirates BAE
06.02.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-0 Emirates Emirates BAE
19.08.2021 Emirates Emirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
30.12.2015 Emirates Emirates 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
12.04.2015 Emirates Emirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
30.11.2014 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-1 HT 0-0 Emirates Emirates BAE

Emirates 2-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emirates
2-3
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.84 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
341 Passes 443
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emirates vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai nicked a narrow win over Emirates 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Emirates had 45% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 55%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.84 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Emirates and 2.17 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Emirates vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Emirates 2-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emirates vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Emirates 21%, draw 20%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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