Al Wasl Dubai 1-4 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.49
No
55%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
5.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
19%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
6.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.28 — our 33% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
63%
-18.4pp
55%
BTTS No
37%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.80/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+34% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.8 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
09.02.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
08.12.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
28.01.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
02.09.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
26.02.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
1-4
AWAY Al Wahda
1.59 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
296 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda cruised past Al Wasl Dubai 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wasl Dubai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 51% of the ball to Al Wahda's 49%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.59 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 2.33 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda?

Al Wasl Dubai 1-4 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 42%, draw 28%, Al Wahda 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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