Helsingborgs IF 1-0 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.77 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
10%
4.48
X/2
13%
7.66
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.09
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.29/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.57
-20% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 0-3 HT 0-2 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
09.04.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.11.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.04.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
31.10.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.05.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1-0
AWAY IK Brage
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF edged past IK Brage 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Helsingborgs IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 44% of the ball to IK Brage's 56%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helsingborgs IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 0.33 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage?

Helsingborgs IF 1-0 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 39%, draw 28%, IK Brage 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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