IFK Lulea 1-0 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 13 May 2025

IFK Lulea
1-0 HT 1-0
Bergnäsets
📅13/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
İSÇD4 – 2025

IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Lulea v Bergnäsets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Lulea
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bergnäsets
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
27.04.2024 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 2-3 HT 0-3 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.09.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
29.05.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 1-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea squeezed past Bergnäsets 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for IFK Lulea and 1.80 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets?

IFK Lulea 1-0 Bergnäsets in the İSÇD4 on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 52%, draw 23%, Bergnäsets 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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