Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queensland Lions v Brisbane City — Team-Based Signals
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Queensland Lions
AVSQ
0-2
HT 0-1
Queensland Lions
AVSQ
6-3
HT 3-1
Brisbane City
AVNPL
7-0
HT 4-0
Brisbane City
AVSQ
Queensland Lions edged past Brisbane City 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Queensland Lions and 0.83 for Brisbane City.
What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City?
Queensland Lions 4-3 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Brisbane City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 52%, draw 22%, Brisbane City 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.