Central Coast Mariners 2-3 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
24.65
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
10%
6.2
X/2
16%
5.76
X/X
8%
5.31
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
14%
3.46
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.65 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 42%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
389 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 2-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
07.02.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 3-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.11.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-3
AWAY Perth Glory
1.52 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
408 Passes 534
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory nicked a narrow win over Central Coast Mariners 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Perth Glory made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 44% of the ball to Perth Glory's 56%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 1.52 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.33 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?

Central Coast Mariners 2-3 Perth Glory in the Australia - FFA Cup on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 35%, draw 25%, Perth Glory 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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