Arlanda 1-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.7pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 34%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
2.62/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.58
+61% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 1-3 HT 0-2 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ3
19.06.2025 Arlanda Arlanda 0-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
10.09.2023 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
13.05.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 1-2 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
08.08.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-2 HT 1-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
31.07.2021 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 7-0 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
1-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda and Karlbergs BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Arlanda had 54% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 46%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arlanda and 2.50 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK?

Arlanda 1-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 42%, draw 21%, Karlbergs BK 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arlanda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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