Brest 1-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.1
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
7%
6.94
X/2
16%
5.1
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
23%
2.9
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.45/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.27
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 85%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.9 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
4W-2D-0L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
23.02.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
30.11.2024 Brest Brest 3-1 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
24.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
07.12.2023 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
05.03.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
3.06 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brest vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg nicked a narrow win over Brest 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 48% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 52%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 3.06 to 2.02 — on chances, Brest could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brest and 0.50 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Brest vs RC Strasbourg?

Brest 1-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brest 30%, draw 23%, RC Strasbourg 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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