RC Strasbourg 1-2 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.36
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.61
X/2
7%
8.81
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
22.25
2/2
9%
6.46
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 15% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.82/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.48
+21% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.0 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Brest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
377 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
30.11.2024 Brest Brest 3-1 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
24.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
07.12.2023 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
05.03.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
04.09.2022 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-2
AWAY Brest
0.80 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
484 Passes 347
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest squeezed past RC Strasbourg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RC Strasbourg at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 57% of the ball to Brest's 43%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.80 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.50 for Brest.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Brest?

RC Strasbourg 1-2 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 58%, draw 20%, Brest 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RC Strasbourg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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