Angers 1-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2025

Angers
1-2 HT 0-1
Lens
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Angers vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.56
1/2
11%
22.7
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
10%
9.73
X/2
9%
4.34
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.2
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 58%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.06/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.02
-24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +60%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 85%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.7 Crosses 22.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Angers vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Lens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Lens Lens 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
18.08.2024 Angers Angers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
18.03.2023 Lens Lens 3-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
05.11.2022 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
27.02.2022 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
26.11.2021 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1

Angers 1-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
1-2
AWAY Lens
1.26 xG 2.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
330 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angers vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens nicked a narrow win over Angers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angers had 45% of the ball to Lens's 55%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.26 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Angers and 1.83 for Lens.

What was the final score of Angers vs Lens?

Angers 1-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Angers 25%, draw 26%, Lens 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025
17:00 RC Strasbourg vs Brest Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Lille Analysis →
19:15 Lorient vs Nice Analysis →
22:45 Lyon vs Nantes Analysis →