Lyon 3-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2025

Lyon
3-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Lyon vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.7
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
22%
3.87
X/2
6%
14.7
X/X
6%
6.49
2/1
12%
22.7
2/2
4%
12.7
2/X
6%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.07/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.00
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
508 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.9 Crosses 12.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Lyon vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nantes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.83 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
482 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
06.10.2024 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.04.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-3 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
20.12.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
05.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FRK
17.03.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1

Lyon 3-0 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
3-0
AWAY Nantes
2.35 xG 1.03
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
553 Passes 175
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon cruised past Nantes 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lyon had 72% of the ball to Nantes's 28%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.35 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyon and 0.67 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Nantes?

Lyon 3-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Lyon 67%, draw 19%, Nantes 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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