Lyon 2-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Oct 2024

Lyon
2-0 HT 1-0
Nantes
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lyon vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.08
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
14%
7.49
2/X
11%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +30%
1.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +47%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.6 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lyon vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nantes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
476 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-3 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
20.12.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
05.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FRK
17.03.2023 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
11.01.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
14.05.2022 Lyon Lyon 3-2 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1

Lyon 2-0 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
2-0
AWAY Nantes
3.28 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
550 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon saw off Nantes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lyon had 62% of the ball to Nantes's 38%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.28 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyon and 0.83 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Nantes?

Lyon 2-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lyon 45%, draw 27%, Nantes 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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