RC Strasbourg 2-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Oct 2024

RC Strasbourg
2-2 HT 1-2
Lens
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

RC Strasbourg vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.82
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.71
X/2
9%
5.51
X/X
12%
4.52
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.64
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RC Strasbourg v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.35/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.60
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.6 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

RC Strasbourg vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
359 Passes 468
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.09.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
07.04.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
11.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 2-2 Lens Lens FR1
03.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
22.09.2021 Lens Lens 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1

RC Strasbourg 2-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
2-2
AWAY Lens
1.24 xG 0.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
244 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg and Lens couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 37% of the ball to Lens's 63%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.24 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.33 for Lens.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Lens?

RC Strasbourg 2-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 34%, draw 28%, Lens 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lens), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024
16:00 Lyon vs Nantes Analysis →
18:00 Reims vs Montpellier Analysis →
18:00 Brest vs Le Havre Analysis →
21:45 Nice vs PSG Analysis →