Brest 2-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Oct 2024

Brest
2-0 HT 1-0
Le Havre
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.3
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
9%
8.27
X/X
10%
4.37
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
6.89
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.8
Value flag · 2/X at 15.8 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.70/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.62
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +104%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.7 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brest vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.08.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
01.02.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR2
28.08.2018 Le Havre Le Havre 3-3 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FRLK
24.08.2018 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
15.05.2018 Le Havre Le Havre 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR2

Brest 2-0 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2-0
AWAY Le Havre
0.75 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 9
343 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brest vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest got the better of Le Havre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brest had 54% of the ball to Le Havre's 46%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brest and 1.17 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Brest vs Le Havre?

Brest 2-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brest 53%, draw 25%, Le Havre 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ BTTS No
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