Reims 4-2 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Oct 2024

Reims
4-2 HT 2-1
Montpellier
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.9
2/2
11%
7.12
2/X
5%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.66
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.7 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Reims vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montpellier
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
298 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
27.08.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 1-2 Reims Reims FR1
03.06.2023 Reims Reims 1-3 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
13.11.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
17.04.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
15.08.2021 Reims Reims 3-3 HT 2-3 Montpellier Montpellier FR1

Reims 4-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
4-2
AWAY Montpellier
3.03 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 378
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Reims vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims beat Montpellier 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Reims as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Reims had 48% of the ball to Montpellier's 52%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.03 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Reims and 1.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Reims vs Montpellier?

Reims 4-2 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Reims 54%, draw 23%, Montpellier 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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