Nice vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nice v PSG — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Nice
FR1
0-2
HT 0-1
PSG
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Nice
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
PSG
FR1
Nice 1-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics
Nice and PSG shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was PSG at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nice had 29% of the ball to PSG's 71%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.45 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nice and 1.83 for PSG.
What was the final score of Nice vs PSG?
Nice 1-1 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nice vs PSG?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nice 28%, draw 23%, PSG 48%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.