Le Havre 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.97
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
6%
8.81
X/2
14%
4.37
X/X
16%
5.01
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.37
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.51/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.13
+17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
24.8 Crosses 20.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lille
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.97 xG 2.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
273 Passes 537
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Lille Lille 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.09.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-3 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
17.02.2024 Lille Lille 3-0 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
01.10.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
26.07.2023 Lille Lille 3-2 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
23.05.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Lille
1.18 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
263 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille edged past Le Havre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Le Havre had 43% of the ball to Lille's 57%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.18 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Le Havre and 2.17 for Lille.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Lille?

Le Havre 0-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 24%, draw 30%, Lille 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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