Angers 0-1 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Aug 2024

Angers
0-1 HT 0-1
Lens
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Angers vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.82
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
11.3
X/2
18%
3.61
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.02
2/X
6%
16.7
Value flag · X/1 at 11.3 — our 16% vs market 5.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.02
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.8 Crosses 26.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Angers vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lens
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Lens Lens 3-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
05.11.2022 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
27.02.2022 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
26.11.2021 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
28.02.2021 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 2-1 Lens Lens FR1
29.11.2020 Lens Lens 1-3 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR1

Angers 0-1 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-1
AWAY Lens
0.39 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
245 Passes 410
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Angers vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens edged past Angers 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Angers had 41% of the ball to Lens's 59%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.39 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Angers and 2.00 for Lens.

What was the final score of Angers vs Lens?

Angers 0-1 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Angers 27%, draw 24%, Lens 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024
16:00 Auxerre vs Nice Analysis →
18:00 Montpellier vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
18:00 Toulouse vs Nantes Analysis →
21:45 Rennes vs Lyon Analysis →