Auxerre vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
FR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Nice
FR1
3-2
HT 2-0
Auxerre
FRLK
1-0
HT 1-0
Auxerre
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Nice
FR1
Auxerre 2-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre nicked a narrow win over Nice 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Auxerre made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Auxerre had 45% of the ball to Nice's 55%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Auxerre's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 1.17 for Nice.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Nice?
Auxerre 2-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Nice?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 34%, draw 27%, Nice 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.