Nice 0-0 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

Nice
0-0 HT 0-0
Auxerre
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
12%
7.75
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
12%
6.01
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre EU Bookmakers 28%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.24
-94% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Auxerre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
484 Passes 285
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2023 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
16.10.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
31.10.2018 Nice Nice 3-2 HT 2-0 Auxerre Auxerre FRLK
21.04.2012 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
11.12.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 2-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
12.03.2011 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0-0
AWAY Auxerre
1.97 xG 0.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
509 Passes 409
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
31 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice and Auxerre played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nice had 56% of the ball to Auxerre's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.97 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nice and 1.00 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Nice vs Auxerre?

Nice 0-0 Auxerre in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nice 41%, draw 27%, Auxerre 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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