Brest 1-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

Brest
1-0 HT 0-0
Angers
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
15%
3.71
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
8%
5.19
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
13%
8.61
2/X
11%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
5.50/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.82
+48% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
33.0 Crosses 33.0
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.34 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
380 Passes 420
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2023 Brest Brest 4-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
21.08.2022 Angers Angers 1-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
20.07.2022 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest HAZ
20.03.2022 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
12.09.2021 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
21.03.2021 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-0
AWAY Angers
1.21 xG 0.81
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
485 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest edged past Angers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 64% of the ball to Angers's 36%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brest and 0.50 for Angers.

What was the final score of Brest vs Angers?

Brest 1-0 Angers in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brest 50%, draw 24%, Angers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ BTTS No
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