Ales vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ales v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals
Ales 1-2 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics
Paris FC edged past Ales 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ales had 46% of the ball to Paris FC's 54%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.91 to 1.26.
What was the final score of Ales vs Paris FC?
Ales 1-2 Paris FC in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ales vs Paris FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ales 27%, draw 25%, Paris FC 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.