Orleans 2-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
18%
3.94
X/2
10%
8.61
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
7.02
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.28
-29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.1
Crosses 9.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nimes
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-3 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans nicked a narrow win over Nimes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orleans as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Nimes?

Orleans 2-1 Nimes in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orleans 50%, draw 25%, Nimes 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orleans) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ BTTS No
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