Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
4.2
6+ Goals
12%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.8pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon-Duchere EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 40%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.34
+45% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon-Duchere
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Le Puy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
06.03.2020 Lyon-Duchere Lyon-Duchere 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Puy Le Puy FR3
27.09.2019 Le Puy Le Puy 1-2 HT 0-2 Lyon-Duchere Lyon-Duchere FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon-Duchere
1-2
AWAY Le Puy
0.76 xG 2.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
366 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lyon-Duchere vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy nicked a narrow win over Lyon-Duchere 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and on the day Le Puy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lyon-Duchere had 50% of the ball to Le Puy's 50%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.76 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Le Puy's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyon-Duchere and 1.00 for Le Puy.

What was the final score of Lyon-Duchere vs Le Puy?

Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Le Puy in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon-Duchere vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Puy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lyon-Duchere 39%, draw 21%, Le Puy 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Puy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Puy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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