Rennes 3-0 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Aug 2024

Rennes
3-0 HT 2-0
Lyon
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
13%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.16
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.91
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.44
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.70/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.71
+34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.4 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lyon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.56 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 Lyon Lyon 2-3 HT 0-3 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2023 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
09.04.2023 Lyon Lyon 3-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.10.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-2 HT 1-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
13.03.2022 Lyon Lyon 2-4 HT 0-3 Rennes Rennes FR1
07.11.2021 Rennes Rennes 4-1 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
3-0
AWAY Lyon
2.05 xG 2.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
354 Passes 377
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Lyon 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rennes had 48% of the ball to Lyon's 52%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 2.05 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rennes and 1.83 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Lyon?

Rennes 3-0 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rennes 43%, draw 27%, Lyon 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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