Toulouse 0-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Aug 2024

Toulouse
0-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
15%
7.03
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
7%
5.47
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.43/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.21
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.0 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Toulouse vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nantes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
13.08.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
14.05.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
29.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-5 HT 0-4 Toulouse Toulouse FRK
28.08.2022 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
30.05.2021 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Toulouse 0-0 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
0-0
AWAY Nantes
1.71 xG 0.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
397 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse and Nantes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Toulouse had 54% of the ball to Nantes's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toulouse and 1.17 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Nantes?

Toulouse 0-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 41%, draw 27%, Nantes 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Toulouse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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