Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.0
1/2
7%
23.1
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
19.6
X/1
5%
12.65
X/2
24%
3.79
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
1.79
2/X
5%
17.15
Value flag · 1/X at 19.6 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 69%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.77/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.95
+69% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.52 xG 2.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 441
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2025 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 4-3 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
15.05.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
23.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.02.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.09.2019 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.49 xG 1.05
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
216 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 36% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 64%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.49 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.17 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 19%, draw 24%, Trabzonspor 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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