Gençlerbirliği 4-3 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2025

Gençlerbirliği
4-3 HT 2-1
Trabzonspor
📅22/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.36
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.59
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
8%
4.69
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
23%
3.25
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.7pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.43/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.0 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 2.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 433
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
15.05.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
23.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.02.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.09.2019 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
10.02.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Gençlerbirliği 4-3 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
4-3
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.56 xG 2.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
190 Passes 399
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği nicked a narrow win over Trabzonspor 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Gençlerbirliği found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 37% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 63%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.56 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Gençlerbirliği 4-3 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 38%, draw 22%, Trabzonspor 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trabzonspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
22 Dec 2025
17:00 Başakşehir FK vs Gaziantep FK Analysis →