Başakşehir FK 5-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.33
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
14%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
2/2
9%
7.47
2/X
4%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.70/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.69
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.0 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
23.11.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.10.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.02.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
5-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.66 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
451 Passes 321
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK swept aside Gaziantep FK 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 58% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 42%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.66 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Gaziantep FK?

Başakşehir FK 5-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 52%, draw 25%, Gaziantep FK 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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