Gaziantep FK 3-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.46
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
13%
6.0
X/X
14%
4.55
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
1.40/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.23
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.1 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
291 Passes 459
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.10.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.02.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.09.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
08.04.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
3-0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.06 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK ran out comfortable winners over Başakşehir FK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gaziantep FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 40% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 60%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.06 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Gaziantep FK 3-0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 35%, draw 28%, Başakşehir FK 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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