Eyüpspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.15
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
13%
6.53
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
9%
4.67
2/X
11%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.47/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.48
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
13.4 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.73 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
15.10.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.04 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
275 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor squeezed past Eyüpspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 47% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 53%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Eyüpspor and 0.50 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Eyüpspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 43%, draw 27%, Çaykur Rizespor 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eyüpspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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