Bodrum FK 0-1 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.35
1/2
5%
21.5
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1
12%
15.15
X/2
11%
3.71
X/X
13%
7.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.69
2/X
6%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
Crosses 20.2
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-1
AWAY Galatasaray
0.25 xG 3.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
145 Passes 416
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Bodrum FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 33% of the ball to Galatasaray's 67%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.25 to 3.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Galatasaray?

Bodrum FK 0-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 24%, draw 26%, Galatasaray 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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