Kayserispor 2-6 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

Kayserispor
2-6 HT 1-3
Fenerbahçe
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.33
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.28
1/2
6%
21.6
1/X
9%
17.4
X/1
6%
12.3
X/2
21%
3.8
X/X
10%
6.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.87
2/X
9%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.15/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.89
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
15.0 Crosses 20.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.06 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
20.12.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-4 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.04.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-1 HT 2-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
04.03.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
03.09.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL

Kayserispor 2-6 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
2-6
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.01 xG 3.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
10 Corners 5
287 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 27
41 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe cruised past Kayserispor 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 49% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 51%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.01 to 3.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kayserispor and 3.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?

Kayserispor 2-6 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 18%, draw 28%, Fenerbahçe 54%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Under 2.5
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