Gomel 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒20:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.44
No
48%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.14
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
37%
+15.5pp
48%
BTTS No
63%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.42/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.27
-4% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Gomel Gomel 5-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
28.02.2024 Gomel Gomel 3-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk HAZ
07.08.2022 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.07.2020 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
0-2
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk saw off Gomel 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gomel had 54% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 46%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gomel and 1.00 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Gomel 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gomel 40%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gomel), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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13 Jun 2025
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