Nevezis 0-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.43/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.54
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.03.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
16.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 1-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
21.05.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera edged past Nevezis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nevezis and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Atmosfera?

Nevezis 0-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 41%, draw 23%, Atmosfera 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ BTTS Yes
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