Adelaide City 0-2 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.15/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-46% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Modbury Jets
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-2 HT 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
01.07.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVSA
08.04.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-2 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
26.09.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
08.08.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets saw off Adelaide City 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modbury Jets led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adelaide City and 1.17 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Modbury Jets?

Adelaide City 0-2 Modbury Jets in the Australia - NPL South on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 50%, draw 21%, Modbury Jets 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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