Adelaide Olympic 4-1 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 13 Jul 2024

Adelaide Olympic
4-1 HT 2-1
Croydon Kings
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Australia - NPL South – 2024

Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
33%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
56%
Away Win
48%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.8pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide Olympic v Croydon Kings — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 52%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-39% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Olympic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-2 HT 2-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
18.02.2023 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 3-2 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
30.07.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
29.04.2022 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 1-0 HT 1-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
11.08.2021 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 4-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Olympic ran out comfortable winners over Croydon Kings 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Croydon Kings carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Olympic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adelaide Olympic and 0.83 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide Olympic 4-1 Croydon Kings in the Australia - NPL South on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Olympic vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Olympic 23%, draw 22%, Croydon Kings 56%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Croydon Kings), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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