Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.92
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
8%
17.0
X/1
6%
11.45
X/2
19%
3.76
X/X
15%
5.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.93
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.01/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.59
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +125%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.9 Crosses 36.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.36 xG 1.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
442 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 6-1 HT 3-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
01.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.02.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
13.08.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
29.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
18.09.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.58 xG 1.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
290 Passes 223
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 53% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.58 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 2.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Vissel Kobe?

Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 20%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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