Ballard 1-0 United PDX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballard EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY United PDX EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
3.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/2.31
+31% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballard
1W-1D-1L
AWAY United PDX
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.06.2024 United PDX United PDX 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballard Ballard USL2
17.07.2023 Ballard Ballard 4-1 HT 1-0 United PDX United PDX USL2
26.06.2023 United PDX United PDX 1-1 HT 1-1 Ballard Ballard USL2
POST-MATCH Ballard vs United PDX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballard nicked a narrow win over United PDX 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballard as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ballard and 1.33 for United PDX.

What was the final score of Ballard vs United PDX?

Ballard 1-0 United PDX in the USA - USL League 2 on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballard vs United PDX?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballard win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ballard 51%, draw 23%, United PDX 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballard) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballard) ✗ Over 2.5
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