The Villages 3-1 Inter Gainesville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 13 Jul 2024

The Villages
3-1
Inter Gainesville
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

The Villages vs Inter Gainesville Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
37%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.1pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.5pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The Villages v Inter Gainesville — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Villages EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Gainesville EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.40/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH The Villages vs Inter Gainesville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Villages beat Inter Gainesville 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The Villages as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of The Villages vs Inter Gainesville?

The Villages 3-1 Inter Gainesville in the USA - USL League 2 on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Villages vs Inter Gainesville?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Villages win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split The Villages 65%, draw 17%, Inter Gainesville 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Villages), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Villages) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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